Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.000395 0.000443 0.000496 0.000558 0.000628 0.000706 0.000797
2024-12-15 0.000309 0.000379 0.000462 0.000569 0.000704 0.000868 0.001084
2024-12-22 0.000244 0.000318 0.000413 0.000544 0.000722 0.000955 0.001289
2024-12-29 0.000210 0.000288 0.000393 0.000547 0.000769 0.001081 0.001558
2025-01-05 0.000191 0.000274 0.000392 0.000572 0.000847 0.001255 0.001920
2025-01-12 0.000167 0.000248 0.000368 0.000560 0.000867 0.001344 0.002165
2025-01-19 0.000143 0.000220 0.000338 0.000533 0.000856 0.001383 0.002333
2025-01-26 0.000132 0.000209 0.000330 0.000539 0.000900 0.001515 0.002674
2025-02-02 0.000126 0.000205 0.000334 0.000565 0.000980 0.001716 0.003171
2025-02-09 0.000114 0.000191 0.000320 0.000557 0.000998 0.001809 0.003482
2025-02-16 0.000106 0.000182 0.000313 0.000561 0.001038 0.001947 0.003899
2025-02-23 0.000098 0.000171 0.000301 0.000555 0.001058 0.002049 0.004261
2025-03-02 0.000092 0.000165 0.000298 0.000565 0.001112 0.002231 0.004835
2025-03-09 0.000086 0.000158 0.000293 0.000571 0.001159 0.002406 0.005432
2025-03-16 0.000077 0.000144 0.000273 0.000545 0.001136 0.002429 0.005682
2025-03-23 0.000072 0.000138 0.000267 0.000547 0.001175 0.002597 0.006314
2025-03-30 0.000070 0.000138 0.000272 0.000572 0.001268 0.002899 0.007348
2025-04-06 0.000065 0.000129 0.000260 0.000560 0.001273 0.002996 0.007862
2025-04-13 0.000058 0.000118 0.000242 0.000532 0.001238 0.002987 0.008085
2025-04-20 0.000056 0.000115 0.000240 0.000539 0.001287 0.003199 0.008983
2025-04-27 0.000055 0.000115 0.000245 0.000565 0.001388 0.003566 0.010420
2025-05-04 0.000051 0.000109 0.000237 0.000557 0.001401 0.003694 0.011154
2025-05-11 0.000049 0.000106 0.000234 0.000561 0.001445 0.003918 0.012247